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Supporting algorithm 13 (VB).bas
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Supporting algorithm 13 (VB).bas
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Attribute VB_Name = "Module1"
'##############################################################################################
'# John Wiley & Sons, Inc. #
'# #
'# Book: Markov Chains: From Theory To Implementation And Experimentation #
'# Author: Dr. Paul Gagniuc #
'# Data: 01/09/2016 #
'# #
'# Description: #
'# Supporting algorithm 13. Prediction framework based on a 4x4 transition matrix. #
'# Known transition probability values are directly used from a transition matrix #
'# for highlighting the behavior of a Markov Chain. A variable number of states #
'# and configurations can be tested. For instance, a diagram with three states can #
'# be molded on the algorithm. However, since the framework is made for a total of #
'# 4 states the following modifications are required: all Jar(n, 4) elements are #
'# set to zero (Jar(1, 4)=0; Jar(2, 4)=0; Jar(3, 4)=0; and Jar(4, 4)=0). Furthermore, #
'# the molding of a diagram with two states on this framework involves two #
'# modifications: all Jar(n, 4) elements are set to zero and all Jar(n, 3) elements #
'# are set to zero. Any type of diagram configuration can be tested by following two #
'# rules: 1) the absence of an arrow is indicated by zero, and 2) any value greater #
'# than zero and less than or equal to 1 indicates an arrow. #
'##############################################################################################
Dim Jar(1 To 4, 1 To 4) As String
Private Sub main()
Dim v(0 To 3, 0 To 1) As Variant
Jar(1, 1) = 1
Jar(1, 2) = 0
Jar(1, 3) = 0
Jar(1, 4) = 0
Jar(2, 1) = 0.5
Jar(2, 2) = 0
Jar(2, 3) = 0.5
Jar(2, 4) = 0
Jar(3, 1) = 0
Jar(3, 2) = 0.5
Jar(3, 3) = 0
Jar(3, 4) = 0.5
Jar(4, 1) = 0
Jar(4, 2) = 0
Jar(4, 3) = 1
Jar(4, 4) = 0
chain = 5
v(0, 0) = 0
v(1, 0) = 0
v(2, 0) = 0
v(3, 0) = 1
v(0, 1) = 0
v(1, 1) = 0
v(2, 1) = 0
v(3, 1) = 0
For k = 1 To chain
For i = 0 To 3
For j = 0 To 3
v(i, 1) = v(i, 1) + (v(j, 0) * Jar(j + 1, i + 1))
Next j
Next i
For i = 0 To 3
v(i, 0) = v(i, 1)
v(i, 1) = 0
Next i
A = v(0, 0)
B = v(1, 0)
C = v(2, 0)
D = v(3, 0)
MsgBox "Step(" & k & ")=[" & A & "|" & B & "|" & C & "|" & D & "]"
Next k
End Sub