coviditaly

#!/bin/bash
datadeaths=$(curl -s https://raw.githubusercontent.com/CSSEGISandData/COVID-19/master/csse_covid_19_data/csse_covid_19_time_series/time_series_covid19_deaths_global.csv)
datacases=$(curl -s https://raw.githubusercontent.com/CSSEGISandData/COVID-19/master/csse_covid_19_data/csse_covid_19_time_series/time_series_covid19_confirmed_global.csv)

dratetoday=$(echo "$datadeaths" | grep Italy | awk -F',' '{ diff = $NF - $(NF-1) ; avg = ($NF + $(NF-1)) / 2 ; print (diff / avg) * 100}')
caseratetoday=$(echo "$datacases" | grep Italy | awk -F',' '{ diff = $NF - $(NF-1) ; avg = ($NF + $(NF-1)) / 2 ; print (diff / avg) * 100}')

casestoday=$(echo "$datacases" | grep Italy | awk -F',' '{print $NF}')
deathtoday=$(echo "$datadeaths" | grep Italy | awk -F',' '{print $NF}')

drateyday=$(echo "$datadeaths" | grep Italy | awk -F',' '{ for (i=1; i<=5; i++){ diff = $(NF-i) - $(NF-(i+1)); avg = ($(NF-i) + $(NF-(i+1))) / 2 ; printf (diff / avg) * 100"% "}}')
caserateyday=$(echo "$datacases" | grep Italy | awk -F',' '{ for (i=1; i<=5; i++){ diff = $(NF-i) - $(NF-(i+1)); avg = ($(NF-i) + $(NF-(i+1))) / 2 ; printf (diff / avg) * 100"% "}}')

avgdrate=$(echo "$datadeaths" | grep Italy | awk -F',' '{ for (i=0; i<=6; i++){ diff = $(NF-i) - $(NF-(i+1)); avg = ($(NF-i) + $(NF-(i+1))) / 2 ; print (diff / avg) * 100}}' | awk '{ total += $1; count++ } END { print total/count }')
avgcaserate=$(echo "$datacases" | grep Italy | awk -F',' '{ for (i=0; i<=6; i++){ diff = $(NF-i) - $(NF-(i+1)); avg = ($(NF-i) + $(NF-(i+1))) / 2 ; print (diff / avg) * 100}}' | awk '{ total += $1; count++ } END { print total/count }')

echo "Confirmed Italy Cases: Yesterday the difference in confirmed cases from the day before was $caseratetoday %, in contrast the 5 previous days are: $caserateyday
Confirmed Italy Deaths: Yesterday the difference in confirmed deaths from the day before was $dratetoday %, in contrast the 5 previous days are $drateyday" 
echo ""
echo "The average death rate is $avgdrate % over the last 7 days"
echo "The average case rate is $avgcaserate % over the last 7 days"
echo ""
casesinweek=$(echo "scale=5;$casestoday*(1+$avgcaserate/100)^7" | bc)
casesinmonth=$(echo "scale=5;$casestoday*(1+$avgcaserate/100)^30" | bc)

echo "using just the above averages, these are the projections if no changes to growth occur:"
echo "Current cases is $casestoday the expected cases in 7 days is $casesinweek"
echo "Current cases is $casestoday the expected cases in 30 days is $casesinmonth"
echo ""

deathinweek=$(echo "scale=5;$deathtoday*(1+$avgdrate/100)^7" | bc)
deathinmonth=$(echo "scale=5;$deathtoday*(1+$avgdrate/100)^30" | bc)

echo "Current deaths are $deathtoday the expected deaths in 7 days is $deathinweek"
echo "Current deaths are $deathtoday the expected deaths in 30 days is $deathinmonth"