Syria EM | NTL New Analytics

[Holly-Transport]

· Trends in NTL emitted from the official and unofficial border crossings and checkpoints over time

· Trends in NTL as proxy for Intra-Syria trade and interior crossing point activity between zone of control over time.

(MTI team will identify the locations of the official and unofficial border and interior crossings and checkpoints)

[SahitiSarva]

Notes from 11th November call @ramarty

• They want daily updates of nighttime lights and not monthly trends
• They want to see if refugee camps increased NTL
• ADM4 aggregation statistics

[SahitiSarva]

Notes from the 25th November call @ramarty

• We presented nighttime lights across border crossings with the different countries. Monthly and daily updates were shown.
• There are more than 100 informal border crossings between Syria and Lebanon

Action items

• Add NTL for admin 4 level close to the Syria-Lebanon border. September 2023-October 2024 % change.
• The team wants to use NTL to detect smuggling -- we need to get ADM4 location around the boundaries, get NTL at pixel level, and check the % change in NTL between Sep 23 and Oct 24. We will check ACLED data to see if smuggling activity is reported anywhere. -- Action item on Luan's team to put us in touch with the team that worked on this from the UK.
• Another hypothesis is to use NTL to detect conflict i.e., is NTL capturing

[SahitiSarva]

I think Luan has started to work with Rob directly. No new analysis has been proposed just yet and the old one has been submitted to them