From 7e4e855493a6b338d0edf03e174f2757ad4a2353 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001
From: math4mad <smartfamilycn@qq.com>
Date: Fri, 20 Oct 2023 15:59:42 +0800
Subject: [PATCH] minor modify

minor modify
---
 docs/search.json                         |  2 +-
 docs/statistics/13-understand-bayes.html | 11 +++++++----
 statistics/13-understand-bayes.qmd       |  9 ++++++++-
 3 files changed, 16 insertions(+), 6 deletions(-)

diff --git a/docs/search.json b/docs/search.json
index 7112cd9..bed8792 100644
--- a/docs/search.json
+++ b/docs/search.json
@@ -221,7 +221,7 @@
     "href": "statistics/13-understand-bayes.html#plot-results",
     "title": "13-understanding-bayes",
     "section": "3. plot results",
-    "text": "3. plot results\n\n3.1 10 次硬币试验,6 次正面\n两个点的高度相除就是基于实验观察的赔率\n\nplot_likelihood()\n\n\n\n\n\n\n3.2 100次试验 60 次正面\n\nplot_likelihood(;p=0.6,n=100,s=60)\n\n\n\n\n\n\n3.3 500次试验,300 次正面\n\nplot_likelihood(;p=0.6,n=500,s=300)"
+    "text": "3. plot results\n\n3.1 10 次硬币试验,6 次正面\n两个点的高度相除就是基于实验观察的赔率\n\nplot_likelihood()\n\n\n\n\n\n\n3.2 100次试验 60 次正面\n\nplot_likelihood(;p=0.6,n=100,s=60)\n\n\n\n\n\n\n3.3 500次试验,300 次正面\n\nplot_likelihood(;p=0.6,n=500,s=300)\n\n\n\n\n\n在上述实验中模型参数是事先知道的:p(head)=0.6,但是对于很多问题, 参数未知. 在这种情况下, 如果给定两个参数, 优先选择赔率最大的参数作为估计"
   },
   {
     "objectID": "statistics/10-dirichlet-dist.html",
diff --git a/docs/statistics/13-understand-bayes.html b/docs/statistics/13-understand-bayes.html
index fc7bebe..886f798 100644
--- a/docs/statistics/13-understand-bayes.html
+++ b/docs/statistics/13-understand-bayes.html
@@ -384,7 +384,7 @@ <h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="define-likelihood-function">2. define likel
 <span id="cb2-14"><a href="#cb2-14" aria-hidden="true" tabindex="-1"></a>    <span class="fu">axislegend</span>(halign <span class="op">=:</span>left, valign <span class="op">=:</span>top)</span>
 <span id="cb2-15"><a href="#cb2-15" aria-hidden="true" tabindex="-1"></a>    fig</span>
 <span id="cb2-16"><a href="#cb2-16" aria-hidden="true" tabindex="-1"></a><span class="kw">end</span></span></code><button title="Copy to Clipboard" class="code-copy-button"><i class="bi"></i></button></pre></div>
-<div class="cell-output cell-output-display" data-execution_count="53">
+<div class="cell-output cell-output-display" data-execution_count="10">
 <pre><code>plot_likelihood (generic function with 1 method)</code></pre>
 </div>
 </div>
@@ -397,7 +397,7 @@ <h3 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="次硬币试验6-次正面">3.1 10 次硬
 <p>两个点的高度相除就是基于实验观察的赔率</p>
 <div class="cell" data-execution_count="3">
 <div class="sourceCode cell-code" id="cb4"><pre class="sourceCode julia code-with-copy"><code class="sourceCode julia"><span id="cb4-1"><a href="#cb4-1" aria-hidden="true" tabindex="-1"></a><span class="fu">plot_likelihood</span>()</span></code><button title="Copy to Clipboard" class="code-copy-button"><i class="bi"></i></button></pre></div>
-<div class="cell-output cell-output-display" data-execution_count="54">
+<div class="cell-output cell-output-display" data-execution_count="11">
 <p><img src="13-understand-bayes_files/figure-html/cell-4-output-1.png" class="img-fluid"></p>
 </div>
 </div>
@@ -406,7 +406,7 @@ <h3 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="次硬币试验6-次正面">3.1 10 次硬
 <h3 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="次试验-60-次正面">3.2 100次试验 60 次正面</h3>
 <div class="cell" data-execution_count="4">
 <div class="sourceCode cell-code" id="cb5"><pre class="sourceCode julia code-with-copy"><code class="sourceCode julia"><span id="cb5-1"><a href="#cb5-1" aria-hidden="true" tabindex="-1"></a><span class="fu">plot_likelihood</span>(;p<span class="op">=</span><span class="fl">0.6</span>,n<span class="op">=</span><span class="fl">100</span>,s<span class="op">=</span><span class="fl">60</span>)</span></code><button title="Copy to Clipboard" class="code-copy-button"><i class="bi"></i></button></pre></div>
-<div class="cell-output cell-output-display" data-execution_count="55">
+<div class="cell-output cell-output-display" data-execution_count="12">
 <p><img src="13-understand-bayes_files/figure-html/cell-5-output-1.png" class="img-fluid"></p>
 </div>
 </div>
@@ -415,10 +415,13 @@ <h3 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="次试验-60-次正面">3.2 100次试验 60
 <h3 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="次试验300-次正面">3.3 500次试验,300 次正面</h3>
 <div class="cell" data-execution_count="5">
 <div class="sourceCode cell-code" id="cb6"><pre class="sourceCode julia code-with-copy"><code class="sourceCode julia"><span id="cb6-1"><a href="#cb6-1" aria-hidden="true" tabindex="-1"></a><span class="fu">plot_likelihood</span>(;p<span class="op">=</span><span class="fl">0.6</span>,n<span class="op">=</span><span class="fl">500</span>,s<span class="op">=</span><span class="fl">300</span>)</span></code><button title="Copy to Clipboard" class="code-copy-button"><i class="bi"></i></button></pre></div>
-<div class="cell-output cell-output-display" data-execution_count="56">
+<div class="cell-output cell-output-display" data-execution_count="13">
 <p><img src="13-understand-bayes_files/figure-html/cell-6-output-1.png" class="img-fluid"></p>
 </div>
 </div>
+<div class="callout-info" title="讨论">
+<p>在上述实验中模型参数是事先知道的:<code>p(head)=0.6</code>,但是对于很多问题, 参数未知. 在这种情况下, 如果给定两个参数, 优先选择赔率最大的参数作为估计</p>
+</div>
 
 
 </section>
diff --git a/statistics/13-understand-bayes.qmd b/statistics/13-understand-bayes.qmd
index 501fe89..6a4b71f 100644
--- a/statistics/13-understand-bayes.qmd
+++ b/statistics/13-understand-bayes.qmd
@@ -61,4 +61,11 @@ plot_likelihood(;p=0.6,n=100,s=60)
 
 ```{julia}
 plot_likelihood(;p=0.6,n=500,s=300)
-```
\ No newline at end of file
+```
+
+:::{.callout-info title="讨论"}
+   在上述实验中模型参数是事先知道的:`p(head)=0.6`,但是对于很多问题,
+   参数未知. 
+   在这种情况下, 如果给定两个参数, 优先选择赔率最大的参数作为估计
+   
+:::
\ No newline at end of file