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Temperature

Performance benchmark of cond_rnn for predicting the daily temperature in Amsterdam.
Cond_rnn is compared against; an ARMA model, an ARMAX model and a pure autoregressive LSTM. The results are as follows;

  • ARMA model: Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 1.47 degrees
  • ARMAX model with 30 cities: MAE of 1.25 degrees
  • Pure autoregressive LSTM model: MAE of 1.46 degrees
  • Cond_rnn with 30 cities: MAE 0.87 degrees

Setup notes

Extract city_temperature.csv.zip and convert python to notebook, e.g. jupytext --to notebook lstm.py.