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3.txt
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Pressing a strategy of legal challenges and popular pressure to get
President Slobodan Milosevic to concede that he lost elections Sept.
24, Serbia's opposition vowed to shut Belgrade and the country down
on Monday in what would be the first general strike in this country
since World War II. ``Monday is a crucial day, when schools won't
work, students and teachers come onto the streets, the shops and cafes
won't work and a great majority of Belgrade will block traffic,''
vowed Zoran Djindjic on Sunday. Djindjic is a leader of the democratic
opposition coalition. ``Tomorrow will be a day when Belgrade comes
to a halt.'' The opposition hopes to block major roads and highways
all over Serbia, to cut off oil refineries and electrical stations,
to shut down schools and especially public offices and ministries,
to try to show to Milosevic that he can no longer command the country.
Already, there have been some blockades and work stoppages, most notably
in the mine of Kolubara, about 40 miles southwest of Belgrade. The
opposition's candidate, Vojislav Kostunica says he won the Sept. 24
presidential elections outright with more than 50 percent of the vote,
and that Milosevic and his Federal Election Commission organized electoral
fraud to justify a second round runoff next Sunday. Kostunica has
vowed to boycott the second round as unnecessary. He has challenged
the Election Commission's results in the Constitutional Court after
an appeal in a lower court was rejected. Kostunica has appealed to
Greece and Russia to help mediate the electoral dispute and recount
the votes. Russian President Vladimir Putin, after talks with French,
German and American officials, offered to send Russian Foreign Minister
Igor Ivanov to Belgrade to mediate, but Milosevic rejected the offer,
according to American officials briefed on a conversation between
Putin and President Clinton. Russia has been an important Milosevic
ally, helpful with energy, credits and international support. But
German officials said Sunday that in a telephone conversation on Saturday,
Putin agreed with German Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder that Kostunica
had won the election. There was no confirmation from Moscow, which
would mark a major defeat for Milosevic in his effort to convince
his own people that he was not defeated outright by Kostunica. Two
senior Russian diplomats arrived in Belgrade late Saturday for talks
with the government and opposition leaders. Some opposition leaders
said they believe that the pressure beginning Monday must work quickly
on the Milosevic government, forcing a confrontation between people
and the police and fracturing the ruling circle before the runoff
election scheduled Oct. 8. If the civil disobedience strategy fails,
there is still the possibility of asking voters to come out again
next Sunday to prevent a Milosevic victory by default. (BEGIN OPTIONAL
TRIM) Kostunica cannot easily reverse himself on participating in
the runoff election, but his name will appear on the ballot in any
case. It is possible, some opposition leaders said, that the Serbian
Orthodox Church, which has already recognized Kostunica as the first-round
victor, could ask people to vote. A Serb analyst, Aleksa Djilas, said
he believes that Kostunica's rejection of a second round is a mistake,
and that voters would understand a change of heart. ``If people vote
again, Milosevic would surely lose, and such a huge fraud to win would
be obvious and unlikely, and if it were that big, the wrath of the
people would be enormous,'' Djilas said. ``A boycott induces passivity.
Why not say, `Let's drive it home, we are not afraid.''' Milosevic
tends to give in to the inevitable to save himself when other options
are foreclosed, as he did to end the war in Kosovo, said Djilas, a
temporary scholar at the Woodrow Wilson Center in Washington. (END
OPTIONAL TRIM) While there is enormous anxiety in the ruling coalition,
with officials coming to their offices only to talk or calling in
sick, there have been few signs of an open break with Milosevic. On
Friday, he responded harshly in a Socialist Party meeting to suggestions
that he concede to Kostunica, officials said, and his sudden visit
on Saturday to a graduation ceremony at a military academy, with his
two top generals, was perceived by the opposition as a warning that
he would not go without a fight. At the same time, even official figures
show Milosevic trailing Kostunica by more than 10 percentage points,
and his aura as an elected president has been badly tainted. Even
officials who are careful now say it is unlikely that he can remain
president long. They speak of a scenario where Milosevic concedes
to Kostunica but remains in office until January or even June, then
names himself federal prime minister, since his coalition controls
the federal parliament. Others believe that once Milosevic concedes,
it's winner-take-all, and that even his allies will move to Kostunica.
State media are beginning to crack. More than 60 reporters at Vecernje
Novosti, a popular tabloid the state took over in March, have signed
a petition demanding a return to balanced news coverage within 24
hours. In an open letter, the journalists demanded the paper ``stop
linking itself to the interests of a narrow political party or person,
but only to the truth and the will of the people as expressed in the
elections.'' There is a similar petition at Radio Belgrade, part of
the state system, and in a traditional socialist stronghold of Zajecar,
Timocka Television said it would no longer rebroadcast the state news.
Eight local radio stations said they would also stop broadcasting
state news. There have been abundant rumors that Milosevic's wife,
Mirjana Markovic, their son, Marko, and daughter, Marija, left the
country to go to Russia, but government officials said they are still
in Serbia. Markovic herself was seen Sunday in the family's hometown
of Pozarevac and appeared on state television news tonight to denounce
the West for trying ``to produce hatred that will push people into
civil war.'' On Saturday, Marko went to opposition headquarters in
Pozarevac to tell them that his father had not lost the elections
and that he himself would remain in the country.