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abmantz committed Oct 12, 2017
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"Visual comparison of draws from the posterior with the data. (NB: no simulated data here...)\n",
"<table>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <td><img src=\"../graphics/modelcheck-linear-posterior.png \" width=90%></td>\n",
" <td><img src=\"../graphics/modelcheck-linear-posterior.png\" width=90%></td>\n",
" <td></td>\n",
" <td><img src=\"../graphics/modelcheck-linear.png\" width=90%></td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
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"\n",
"A somewhat motivated scale for interpretting differences in IC exists (named for Jeffreys):\n",
"\n",
"| $e^{\\mathrm{IC}_1-\\mathrm{IC}_2}$ | Strength of evidence for model 2 |\n",
"| $e^{(\\mathrm{IC}_1-\\mathrm{IC}_2)/2}$ | Strength of evidence for model 2 |\n",
"|--------|:------------------------:|\n",
"| < 1 | Negative |\n",
"| 1-3 | Barely worth mentioning |\n",
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