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Add initial settings and simulations
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MIT License | ||
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Copyright (c) 2023 Decipher | ||
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Permission is hereby granted, free of charge, to any person obtaining a copy | ||
of this software and associated documentation files (the "Software"), to deal | ||
in the Software without restriction, including without limitation the rights | ||
to use, copy, modify, merge, publish, distribute, sublicense, and/or sell | ||
copies of the Software, and to permit persons to whom the Software is | ||
furnished to do so, subject to the following conditions: | ||
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The above copyright notice and this permission notice shall be included in all | ||
copies or substantial portions of the Software. | ||
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THE SOFTWARE IS PROVIDED "AS IS", WITHOUT WARRANTY OF ANY KIND, EXPRESS OR | ||
IMPLIED, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO THE WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY, | ||
FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE AND NONINFRINGEMENT. IN NO EVENT SHALL THE | ||
AUTHORS OR COPYRIGHT HOLDERS BE LIABLE FOR ANY CLAIM, DAMAGES OR OTHER | ||
LIABILITY, WHETHER IN AN ACTION OF CONTRACT, TORT OR OTHERWISE, ARISING FROM, | ||
OUT OF OR IN CONNECTION WITH THE SOFTWARE OR THE USE OR OTHER DEALINGS IN THE | ||
SOFTWARE. |
Submodule periphery-next
added at
63d64f
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@openzeppelin/contracts/=lib/openzeppelin-contracts/contracts/ | ||
@uniswap/v4-core/=lib/v4-core/ | ||
@uniswap/v4-periphery/=lib/periphery-next/ | ||
forge-std/=lib/forge-std/src/ |
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PATH_TO_PNGS="/YOUR_ABSOLUTE_FILE_PATH_HERE/" |
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# Byte-compiled files | ||
__pycache__/ | ||
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# Environments | ||
.venv/ | ||
.env | ||
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# Images | ||
*.png |
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""" | ||
@author: sm-stack | ||
""" | ||
import pandas as pd | ||
import math | ||
import random | ||
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt | ||
import os | ||
from dotenv import load_dotenv | ||
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load_dotenv() | ||
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def vaultFuturesStrategy(r0,r1,price,netVault0,netVault1,block,kStart,activeFuturePositions,conversionFrequency,alpha): | ||
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r0new=math.sqrt(price*r0*r1) | ||
r1new=r0new/price | ||
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vault0,vault1=0,0 | ||
"""(r1-r1new)>0 means the token 1 has increased in value""" | ||
if (r1-r1new)>0: | ||
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vault1=vault1+(r1-r1new)*(alpha) | ||
"""repay the arbitrageur""" | ||
r0=r0new+(r0-r0new)*(alpha) | ||
"""rebalance the pool""" | ||
r1=r0/price | ||
vault1=vault1+(r1new-r1) | ||
else: | ||
vault0=vault0+(r0-r0new)*(alpha) | ||
"""repay the arbitrageur""" | ||
r1=r1new+(r1-r1new)*(alpha) | ||
r0=r1*price | ||
vault0=vault0+(r0new-r0) | ||
"""settles (1/conversionFrequency) of the active futures contracts""" | ||
if block % conversionFrequency==0: | ||
for i in range(0,conversionFrequency): | ||
valueToBeAdded=activeFuturePositions[i][0]*(price-activeFuturePositions[i][1]) | ||
r0ValueAdd=(valueToBeAdded/2) | ||
r1ValueAdd=(valueToBeAdded/2)/price | ||
r0=r0+r0ValueAdd | ||
r1=r1+r1ValueAdd | ||
kStart=r0*r1 | ||
if vault0<vault1*price: | ||
""" this implies price has gone up """ | ||
"""apply rebalancing fee to the amount needed to be rebalance, in token1 s""" | ||
vault1Additional=(vault1-(vault0/price)) | ||
"""creates a buy futures contract against the block producer""" | ||
activeFuturePositions[sim%conversionFrequency]=[vault1Additional/2,price] | ||
vault0=vault0+(vault1Additional/2)*price | ||
vault1=(vault1-vault1Additional/2) | ||
r0=r0+(vault0) | ||
r1=r1+(vault1) | ||
newK=r0*r1 | ||
kOverNewK=math.sqrt(kStart/newK) | ||
netVault0=netVault0+r0*(1-kOverNewK) | ||
netVault1=netVault1+r1*(1-kOverNewK) | ||
"""Keep the constant constant between blocks""" | ||
r0=r0*kOverNewK | ||
r1=r1*kOverNewK | ||
vault0=0 | ||
vault1=0 | ||
else: | ||
""" this implies price has gone down """ | ||
"""apply rebalancing fee to the amount needed to be rebalance""" | ||
vault0Additional=(vault0-vault1*price) | ||
"""creates a sell futures contract against the block producer (minus sign) """ | ||
activeFuturePositions[sim%conversionFrequency]=[-(vault0Additional/2)/price,price] | ||
vault1=vault1+(vault0Additional/2)/price | ||
vault0=(vault0-vault0Additional/2) | ||
r0=r0+(vault0) | ||
r1=r1+(vault1) | ||
newK=r0*r1 | ||
kOverNewK=math.sqrt(kStart/newK) | ||
netVault0=netVault0+r0*(1-kOverNewK) | ||
netVault1=netVault1+r1*(1-kOverNewK) | ||
"""Keep the constant constant between blocks""" | ||
r0=r0*kOverNewK | ||
r1=r1*kOverNewK | ||
return r0,r1,netVault0,netVault1,kStart,activeFuturePositions | ||
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def vaultLowImpactReAdding(r0,r1,price,vault0,vault1,pctToReAdd,alpha): | ||
r0min=r0*pctToReAdd**2 | ||
r1min=r1*pctToReAdd**2 | ||
r0new=math.sqrt(price*r0*r1) | ||
r1new=r0new/price | ||
""""(r1-r1new)>0 means the token 1 has increased in value""" | ||
if (r1-r1new)>0: | ||
vault1=vault1+(r1-r1new)*(alpha) | ||
""""repay the arbitrageur""" | ||
r0=r0new+(r0-r0new)*(alpha) | ||
""""rebalance the pool""" | ||
r1=r0/price | ||
"""now r1 is the amount supposed to be in the pool GIVEN the updated r0""" | ||
"""r1new is the amount actually there, and >r1""" | ||
"""This difference goes into the vault""" | ||
vault1=vault1+(r1new-r1) | ||
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else: | ||
vault0=vault0+(r0-r0new)*(alpha) | ||
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""""repay the arbitrageur""" | ||
r1=r1new+(r1-r1new)*(alpha) | ||
r0=r1*price | ||
vault0=vault0+(r0new-r0) | ||
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"""performs the conversion every conversionFrequency""" | ||
if True: | ||
if vault0<vault1*price: | ||
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""" this implies price has gone up """ | ||
vault1Additional=(vault1-(vault0/price)) | ||
r0=r0+(vault0) | ||
r1=r1+(vault0/price) | ||
vault0=0 | ||
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"""This max ensures the vault tends to 0. The min ensures the amount added is in the vault""" | ||
amountToReAdd=max(vault1Additional*pctToReAdd,min(vault1Additional,r1min)) | ||
r1=r1+amountToReAdd | ||
vault1=(vault1Additional-amountToReAdd) | ||
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else: | ||
""" this implies price has gone down """ | ||
"""apply rebalancing fee to the amount needed to be rebalance""" | ||
vault0Additional=(vault0-vault1*price) | ||
r1=r1+(vault1) | ||
r0=r0+vault1*price | ||
vault1=0 | ||
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amountToReAdd=max(vault0Additional*pctToReAdd,min(vault0Additional,r0min)) | ||
r0=r0+amountToReAdd | ||
vault0=(vault0Additional-amountToReAdd) | ||
return r0,r1,vault0,vault1 | ||
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def addTXFees(r0,r1,transactionFee): | ||
return r0*(1+transactionFee),r1*(1+transactionFee) | ||
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numBlocksPerDay=10 | ||
numberOfSimsPerCombination=500 | ||
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r0start=150000000 | ||
r1start=81336 | ||
numDaysSimulation=180 | ||
alpha=0.95 | ||
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blocksForSim=numBlocksPerDay*numDaysSimulation | ||
conversionFrequency=numBlocksPerDay | ||
conversionFrequencyFuts=[2,5,10] | ||
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"""dailyFeesVsK=0.0003 is equiv to 10% TVL trading in a 0.3% fee pool""" | ||
dailyFeesVsK=0 | ||
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firstSet=[i for i in range(0,numberOfSimsPerCombination)] | ||
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results=pd.DataFrame(data={"dailyExpectedVol":[], | ||
"alpha":[], | ||
"vaultLazyConvert":[], | ||
"vaultFutures":[], | ||
"AMM":[], | ||
"HODL":[], | ||
"finalPrice":[]}) | ||
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for dailyExpectedVol in [1.05]: | ||
for pctToReAdd in [0.01]: | ||
blocksForSim=numBlocksPerDay*numDaysSimulation | ||
for sim in range(0,numberOfSimsPerCombination): | ||
price=r0start/r1start | ||
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"""Futures Strategy Variables""" | ||
netVault0Futs=[0 for i in range(0,3)] | ||
netVault1Futs=[0 for i in range(0,3)] | ||
r0Futs=[r0start for i in range(0,3)] | ||
r1Futs=[r1start for i in range(0,3)] | ||
kStartFuts=[r0start*r1start for i in range(0,3)] | ||
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"""Low Impact Strategy Variables""" | ||
r0Low=r0start | ||
r1Low=r1start | ||
vault0Low=0 | ||
vault1Low=0 | ||
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activeFuturePositionsFut=[[[0,0] for i in range(0,conversionFrequencyFut)] for conversionFrequencyFut in conversionFrequencyFuts] | ||
vaultStrategyValueFuts=[0,0,0] | ||
for block in range(0,blocksForSim): | ||
""" **(2*random.random()) introduces a vol of vol""" | ||
perBlockVol=1+((1-dailyExpectedVol)/math.sqrt(numBlocksPerDay)) | ||
if random.random()>0.5: | ||
price=price*(perBlockVol) | ||
else: | ||
price = price*(1-(perBlockVol-1)) | ||
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for i in range(0,3): | ||
r0Futs[i],r1Futs[i],netVault0Futs[i],netVault1Futs[i],kStartFuts[i],activeFuturePositionsFut[i]=vaultFuturesStrategy( | ||
r0Futs[i],r1Futs[i],price,netVault0Futs[i],netVault1Futs[i],block,kStartFuts[i],activeFuturePositionsFut[i],conversionFrequencyFuts[i],alpha | ||
) | ||
r0Futs[i],r1Futs[i]=addTXFees(r0Futs[i],r1Futs[i],dailyFeesVsK/numBlocksPerDay) | ||
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r0Low,r1Low,vault0Low,vault1Low=vaultLowImpactReAdding(r0Low,r1Low,price,vault0Low,vault1Low,pctToReAdd,alpha) | ||
r0Low,r1Low=addTXFees(r0Low,r1Low,dailyFeesVsK/numBlocksPerDay) | ||
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for i in range(0,3): | ||
vaultStrategyValueFuts[i]=(r1Futs[i]+netVault1Futs[i])*price + r0Futs[i]+netVault0Futs[i] | ||
vaultStrategyValueLow=(r1Low+vault1Low)*price + r0Low+vault0Low | ||
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results=pd.concat([results,pd.DataFrame({"dailyExpectedVol":dailyExpectedVol, | ||
"alpha":alpha, | ||
"finalPrice": price, | ||
"vaultLowImpact":vaultStrategyValueLow, | ||
"vaultFuturesFreq2":vaultStrategyValueFuts[0], | ||
"vaultFuturesFreq5":vaultStrategyValueFuts[1], | ||
"vaultFuturesFreq10":vaultStrategyValueFuts[2], | ||
"AMM":(math.sqrt(r0start*r1start*price)+math.sqrt(r0start*r1start/price)*price)*(1+dailyFeesVsK/numBlocksPerDay)**numberOfSimsPerCombination, | ||
"HODL":r0start+r1start*price},index=[0])],ignore_index=True) | ||
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b=results["vaultFuturesFreq2"]/results["AMM"] | ||
c=results["HODL"]/results["AMM"] | ||
# d=results["vaultLowImpact"]/results["AMM"] | ||
e=results["vaultFuturesFreq5"]/results["AMM"] | ||
f=results["vaultFuturesFreq10"]/results["AMM"] | ||
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plt.figure(5) | ||
plt.scatter(x=results["finalPrice"].loc[firstSet].values.tolist(),y=c.loc[firstSet].values.tolist(),c="orange",label="HODL") | ||
plt.scatter(x=results["finalPrice"].loc[firstSet].values.tolist(),y=e.loc[firstSet].values.tolist(),c="blue",label="Conversion vs. Futures, 5") | ||
plt.scatter(x=results["finalPrice"].loc[firstSet].values.tolist(),y=b.loc[firstSet].values.tolist(),c="magenta",label="Conversion vs. Futures, 2") | ||
plt.scatter(x=results["finalPrice"].loc[firstSet].values.tolist(),y=f.loc[firstSet].values.tolist(),c="green",label="Conversion vs. Futures, 10") | ||
plt.legend(loc="upper left") | ||
plt.title("Conversion vs. Futures with different conversion frequencies") | ||
plt.ylabel("Strategy / CFMM") | ||
plt.xlabel("final price") | ||
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path=os.getenv("PATH_TO_PNGS") | ||
plt.savefig(path + 'CONVFREQ.png',dpi=500) | ||
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# print("vaultFutures",b.loc[firstSet].describe()) | ||
# print("HODL",c.loc[firstSet].describe()) | ||
# print("vaultLowImpact",d.loc[firstSet].describe()) |
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