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* Add kendall function example
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# Empirical Kendall function and Archimedean's λ function. | ||
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The Kendall function is an important function in dependence structure analysis. It is defined for a $d$-variate copula $C$ as | ||
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$$K(t) = \mathbb P \left( C(U_1,...,U_d) \le t \right),$$ | ||
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where $\bm U = \left(U_1,...,U_n\right)$ are drawn according to $C$. | ||
From a computational point of view, we often do not access to true observations of the random vector $\m U \sim C$ but rather only observations on the marginal scales. | ||
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Suppose for the sake of the argument that we have a multivariate sample on marignal scales $\left(X_{i,j}\right)_{i \in 1,...,d,\; j \in 1,...,n} with dependence structure $C$. | ||
A standard way to approximate $K$ is to rather compute | ||
$$Z_j = \frac{1}{n-1} \sum_{k \neq j} \bm 1_{X_{i,j} < X_{i,k} \forall i \in 1,...,d}.$$ | ||
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Indeed, $K$ can be approximated as the empirical distribution function of $Z_1,...,Z_n$. Here is a sketch implementation of this concept: | ||
```@example lambda | ||
struct KendallFunction{T} | ||
z::Vector{T} | ||
function KendallFunction(x) | ||
d,n = size(x) | ||
z = zeros(n) | ||
for i in 1:n | ||
for j in 1:n | ||
if j ≠ i | ||
z[i] += reduce(&, x[:,j] .< x[:,i]) | ||
end | ||
end | ||
end | ||
z ./= (n-1) | ||
sort!(z) | ||
return new{eltype(z)}(z) | ||
end | ||
end | ||
function (K::KendallFunction)(t) | ||
# Then the K function is simply the empirical cdf of the Z sample: | ||
return sum(K.z .≤ t)/length(K.z) | ||
end | ||
nothing # hide | ||
``` | ||
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Let us try it on a random example: | ||
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```@example lambda | ||
using Copulas, Distributions, Plots | ||
X = SklarDist(ClaytonCopula(2,2.7),(Normal(),Pareto())) | ||
x = rand(X,1000) | ||
K = KendallFunction(x) | ||
plot(u -> K(u), xlims = (0,1), title="Empirical Kendall function") | ||
``` | ||
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One notable detail on the Kendall function is that is does **not** characterize the copula in all generality. On the other hand, for Archimedean copulas, we have: | ||
$$K(t) = t - \phi'\{\phi^{-1}(t)\} \phi^{-1}(t).$$ | ||
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Due to this partical relationship, the Kendall function actually characterizes the generator of the archimedean copula. In fact, this relationship is generally expressed in term of a λ function defined as $$\lambda(t) = t - K(t),$$ which, for archimedean copulas, is obviously equal to $\phi'\{\phi^{-1}(t)\} \phi^{-1}(t)$. | ||
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Common λ functions can be easily derived by hand for standard archimedean generators. For any archimedean generator in the package, however, it is even easier to let Julia do the derivation. | ||
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Let's try to compare the empirical λ function from our dataset to a few theoretical ones. For that, we setup parameters of the relevant generators to match the kendall τ of the dataset (because we can). We include for the record the independent and completely monotonous cases. | ||
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```@example lambda | ||
using Copulas: ϕ⁽¹⁾, ϕ⁻¹, τ⁻¹, ClaytonGenerator, GumbelGenerator | ||
using StatsBase: corkendall | ||
λ(G,t) = ϕ⁽¹⁾(G,ϕ⁻¹(G,t)) * ϕ⁻¹(G,t) | ||
plot(u -> u - K(u), xlims = (0,1), label="Empirical λ function") | ||
κ = corkendall(x')[1,2] # empirical kendall tau | ||
θ_cl = τ⁻¹(ClaytonGenerator,κ) | ||
θ_gb = τ⁻¹(GumbelGenerator,κ) | ||
plot!(u -> λ(ClaytonGenerator(θ_cl),u), label="Clayton") | ||
plot!(u -> λ(GumbelGenerator(θ_gb),u), label="Gumbel") | ||
plot!(u -> 0, label="Comonotony") | ||
plot!(u -> u*log(u), label="Independence") | ||
``` | ||
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The variance of the empirical λ function is notable on this example. In particular, we note that the estimated parameter | ||
```@example lambda | ||
θ_cl | ||
``` | ||
is not very far for the true $2.7$ we used to generate the dataset. A few more things could be tried before closing up the analysis on a real dataset: | ||
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- Empirical validation of the archimedean property of the data, and then | ||
- Non-parametric estimation of the generator from the empirical Kendall function, or through other means. | ||
- Non-archimedean parametric models. |