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Merge pull request PSLmodels#2819 from martinholmer/enhance-ppp
Thoroughly revise the ppp.py script to make it usable
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Original file line number | Diff line number | Diff line change |
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""" | ||
Policy parameter projection script, which calculates policy parameter | ||
values that were changed by TCJA and will revert to their pre-TCJA | ||
values in 2026 (adjusted for inflation). The script should be run | ||
when the inflation factor values change in growfactors.csv. | ||
This policy parameter projection script, which calculates policy | ||
parameter values that were changed by TCJA and will revert to | ||
their pre-TCJA values in 2026 (adjusted for inflation). | ||
USAGE: $ python ppp.py | ||
USAGE: (taxcalc-dev) T-C% python ppp.py | ||
THEN CHECK: % diff pcl.json taxcalc/policy_current_law.json | ||
IF DIFFS OK % mv pcl.json taxcalc/policy_current_law.json | ||
Note: running this script will write the new 2026 parameter values | ||
directly to policy_current_law.json. So, if you want to compare | ||
the new 2026 parameter values with the old 2026 parameter values, | ||
be sure to copy policy_current_law.json before running this script. | ||
WHEN TO USE: use this script to update taxcalc/policy_current_law.json | ||
whenever post-2016 inflation rates in the growfactors.csv files are changed. | ||
""" | ||
import json | ||
import collections | ||
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import sys | ||
import re | ||
from pathlib import Path | ||
from taxcalc import Policy | ||
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params = Policy() | ||
REVERTING_PARAMS = { | ||
'ALD_BusinessLosses_c': 2029, | ||
'II_em': 2026, | ||
'II_em_ps': 2026, | ||
'STD': 2026, | ||
'ID_AllTaxes_c': 2026, | ||
'ID_ps': 2026, | ||
'II_brk1': 2026, | ||
'II_brk2': 2026, | ||
'II_brk3': 2026, | ||
'II_brk4': 2026, | ||
'II_brk5': 2026, | ||
'II_brk6': 2026, | ||
'II_brk7': 2026, | ||
'PT_brk1': 2026, | ||
'PT_brk2': 2026, | ||
'PT_brk3': 2026, | ||
'PT_brk4': 2026, | ||
'PT_brk5': 2026, | ||
'PT_brk6': 2026, | ||
'PT_brk7': 2026, | ||
'PT_qbid_taxinc_thd': 2026, | ||
'AMT_em': 2026, | ||
'AMT_em_ps': 2026, | ||
'AMT_em_pe': 2026, | ||
} | ||
MARS_VALUES = ['single', 'mjoint', 'mseparate', 'headhh', 'widow'] | ||
PYEAR = 2017 # prior year before TCJA first implemented | ||
FYEAR = 2026 # final year in which parameter values revert | ||
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# parameters that will revert | ||
long_params = ['II_brk7', 'II_brk6', 'II_brk5', 'II_brk4', | ||
'II_brk3', 'II_brk2', 'II_brk1', | ||
'PT_brk7', 'PT_brk6', 'PT_brk5', 'PT_brk4', | ||
'PT_brk3', 'PT_brk2', 'PT_brk1', | ||
'PT_qbid_taxinc_thd', | ||
'ALD_BusinessLosses_c', | ||
'STD', 'II_em', 'II_em_ps', | ||
'AMT_em', 'AMT_em_ps', 'AMT_em_pe', | ||
'ID_ps', 'ID_AllTaxes_c'] | ||
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# calculate the inflation factor used to calculate the | ||
# inflation-adjusted 2026 parameter values | ||
FINAL_IFACTOR = 1.0 | ||
PYEAR = 2017 # prior year before TCJA first implemented | ||
FYEAR = 2026 # final year in which parameter values revert to | ||
# pre-TCJA values | ||
# construct final-year inflation factor from prior year | ||
# NOTE: pvalue[t+1] = pvalue[t] * ( 1 + irate[t] ) | ||
for year in range(PYEAR, FYEAR): | ||
yindex = year - params.start_year | ||
rate = params._inflation_rates[yindex] # pylint: disable=protected-access | ||
FINAL_IFACTOR *= 1 + rate | ||
def cumulative_ifactor(): | ||
""" | ||
Return PYEAR-to_FYEAR inflation factor. | ||
""" | ||
pol = Policy() | ||
# calculate the inflation factor used to calculate the | ||
# inflation-adjusted 2026 reverting parameter values | ||
# NOTE: pvalue[t+1] = pvalue[t] * ( 1 + irate[t] ) | ||
cum_ifactor = 1.0 | ||
for year in range(PYEAR, FYEAR): | ||
# pylint: disable=protected-access | ||
rate = pol._inflation_rates[year - pol.start_year] | ||
cum_ifactor *= 1.0 + rate | ||
return cum_ifactor | ||
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long_param_vals = collections.defaultdict(list) | ||
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for param in long_params: | ||
vos = params.select_eq(param, year=PYEAR) | ||
# use FINAL_IFACTOR to inflate from 2017 to 2026 | ||
for vo in vos: | ||
long_param_vals[param].append( | ||
# create new dict to avoid modifying the original | ||
dict( | ||
vo, | ||
value=min(9e99, round( | ||
vo["value"] * FINAL_IFACTOR, 0)), | ||
year=FYEAR, | ||
def integrate_fragments(fragments): | ||
""" | ||
Integrate specified fragments with the policy_current_law.json text. | ||
""" | ||
p_c_l_path = Path('.') / 'taxcalc' / 'policy_current_law.json' | ||
with open(p_c_l_path, 'r', encoding='utf-8') as ofile: | ||
olines = ofile.readlines() | ||
# pylint: disable=consider-using-with | ||
nfile = open('pcl.json', 'w', encoding='utf-8') | ||
re_param_line = re.compile(r'^\s{4}"(\w+)": {$') | ||
re_ryear26_line = re.compile(r'^\s{16}"year": 2026,$') | ||
re_ryear29_line = re.compile(r'^\s{16}"year": 2029,$') | ||
re_value_line = re.compile(r'^\s{16}"value":') | ||
writing_oline = True | ||
pname_has_fragments = False | ||
for oline in olines: | ||
pmatch = re_param_line.search(oline) | ||
if pmatch: | ||
pname = pmatch.group(1) | ||
pname_has_fragments = pname in fragments | ||
if pname_has_fragments: | ||
if fragments[pname][0]['year'] == 2026: | ||
re_ryear_line = re_ryear26_line | ||
else: | ||
re_ryear_line = re_ryear29_line | ||
idx = -1 | ||
elif pname_has_fragments: | ||
ymatch = re_ryear_line.search(oline) | ||
if ymatch: | ||
idx += 1 | ||
if pname_has_fragments and idx >= 0: | ||
if re_value_line.search(oline): | ||
writing_oline = False | ||
else: | ||
writing_oline = True | ||
if writing_oline: | ||
nfile.write(oline) | ||
else: | ||
nfile.write( | ||
f' "value": {fragments[pname][idx]["value"]}\n' | ||
) | ||
) | ||
nfile.close() | ||
return 0 | ||
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def main(): | ||
""" | ||
High-level script logic. | ||
""" | ||
ifactor = cumulative_ifactor() | ||
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# construct policy_current_law.json revert-year fragments | ||
# for each reverting parameter in a fragments dictionary | ||
fragments = {} | ||
parameters = Policy() | ||
for pname, ryear in REVERTING_PARAMS.items(): | ||
vos = parameters.select_eq(pname, year=PYEAR) | ||
frag_list = [] | ||
for vo in vos: | ||
rval = min(9e99, round(vo['value'] * ifactor, 0)) | ||
frag_list.append({'year': ryear, 'value': rval}) | ||
fragments[pname] = frag_list | ||
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# call adjust method for new 2026 values | ||
params.adjust(long_param_vals) | ||
params.clear_state() | ||
param_data = params.specification( | ||
meta_data=False, serializable=True, use_state=False, _auto=False) | ||
# integrate fragment info into existing policy_current_law.json | ||
rcode = integrate_fragments(fragments) | ||
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# read existing policy_current_law.json | ||
with open('taxcalc/policy_current_law.json', 'r', encoding='utf-8') as pcl_old: | ||
pcl = json.load(pcl_old) | ||
# return exit code returned by integrate_fragments function | ||
return rcode | ||
# end main function code | ||
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# replace 2026 values in the pcl dictionary | ||
for param in param_data: | ||
pcl[param]["value"] = param_data[param] | ||
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# write new pcl dictionary to policy_current_law.json | ||
with open('taxcalc/policy_current_law.json', 'w', encoding='utf-8') as pcl_new: | ||
json.dump(pcl, pcl_new, indent=4) | ||
pcl_new.write('\n') | ||
if __name__ == '__main__': | ||
sys.exit(main()) |
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